Highlights
Today, 20 June, the Chinese PBoC will announce its a year’s and 5-year lending primary rate.
the Chinese latest economic statistics have shown the necessity for additional measures to support the economy & AUD
Late in the afternoon, American real estate, production, and labour market numbers will draw investor interest.
Investors should pay focus on BoJ speech today, June 20th, to the USDJPY remains near 158.00 mark.
Following in the late afternoon, the United States job market and manufacturing-related statistics will pique investors’ curiosity.
Considering the emphasis on the country’s job market, traders ought to pay attention to comments by FOMC officials.
AUD Fundamental Review & Insights
The PBoC and its Impact on the China’s Economics
The bank may affect buyer appetite regarding the AUDUSD on Thursday afternoon, June 20th.
Analysts predict the Bank of China (PBoC) to maintain the one year & five-year lending rates of interest (LPR) around 3.45 percent & 3.95 percent, correspondingly.
Lending rates of interest represent the financing rates for both business and real estate loans. Any unforeseen drop in the one year or five-year LPR might enhance economic growth and increase consumer demand for the AUD.
Reduced mortgage rates could increase borrowing funds, company investing, and spending by customers.
An improved buyer climate in China might boost the Aussie economy as well as the AUD.
The immediate future Outlook
Short-term AUDUSD developments will be determined by American labor market indicators The PMIs for the services industry, and the monetary authorities. poor-than-projected U.S labor figures with policy assistance from China may shift the exchange rate dispersion towards the Australian $.
AUDUSD Technical Analysis
The AU/USD remained safely beyond the 50 & 200 D- EMAs, confirming positive price signs.
If the AUD breaks over the $0.6700 barrier threshold, it will likely advance to reach the $0.67501 target. An advance over $0.67501 could allow bullish an opening over the $0.67966 barrier area.
Investors should analyze the PBoC, American Unemployment claims, and US Fed talk.
In contrast, if the AUDUSD falls under $0.66501, the 50-day moving average (EMA) may come into effect. If the AUDUSD falls under the 50 D- moving average, sellers may target the 200 D-EMA and around $0.65760 supporting zone.
Having a 14-time frame Every day RSI score of 56.21. The Australian dollar may test beyond the $0.67501 level prior to hitting overvalued zone.
USDJPY Technical Analysis
The BoJ may affect demand from buyers to the USDJPY today. Rumors for a Jul rate of interest rise might send the USDJPY less, near the 155.00 region.
Latest economic indications backed the banks resolve to keep rates of interest steady on the 14th of June. Nevertheless, the absence of a pledge to raise rates in the short future has depressed investor enthusiasm for the JPY.
The USDJPY pair traded significantly higher than the 50 & 200 D-EMAs, reinforcing the positive pricing pattern.
A USDJPY rebound to the 158.00 mark could provide investors a push for the 160.00 bar towards the 29th Apr top of 160.209 mark.
The Fed & Boj’s rhetoric and US labor market statistics demand market focus.
In contrast, a USD/PY plunge past the 157.5 mark might indicate an erosion close to the 50 D-EMA. A decline under the 50 D- EMA might put the 151.686 supporting area into action.
The 14 D- Time Frame RSI of 60.42 implies that USDJPY will recover to its April 29th peak of 160.208. – Beforehand approaching overvalued position.
Technical Indicators & Signals
AUDUSD
Name | Value | Action |
RSI(14) | 55.413 | Buy |
STOCH(9,6) | 56.349 | Buy |
STOCHRSI(14) | 0.000 | Oversold |
MACD(12,26) | 0.001 | Buy |
ADX(14) | 28.511 | Buy |
Williams %R | -61.904 | Sell |
CCI(14) | 63.7810 | Buy |
ATR(14) | 0.0005 | Less Volatility |
Highs/Lows(14) | 0.0000 | Neutral |
Ultimate Oscillator | 54.621 | Buy |
ROC | -0.060 | Sell |
Bull/Bear Power(13) | 0.0009 | Buy |
USDJPY
Name | Value | Action |
RSI(14) | 62.175 | Buy |
STOCH(9,6) | 83.052 | Overbought* Caution for Buyers |
STOCHRSI(14) | 100.000 | Overbought |
MACD(12,26) | 0.590 | Buy |
ADX(14) | 24.341 | Buy |
Williams %R | -2.949 | Overbought* |
CCI(14) | 119.9156 | Buy |
ATR(14) | 1.1182 | Less Volatility |
Highs/Lows(14) | 0.7143 | Buy |
Ultimate Oscillator | 52.657 | Buy* Caution |
ROC | 0.544 | Buy |