The USDCAD Cross rate continues its decline beneath 1.3750 threshold on a weaker United States dollar on Thursday.
Highlights
The USDCAD falls at 1.3730 zone on Thursday as the U.S. dollar weakens.
The Bank of Canada Governor stated that the Bank is “moving nearer” to cutting interest rates.
The Federal Reserve has not adjusted its benchmark rates of interest. But showed more prudence compared to earlier regarding potential rate decreases.
USDCAD Basic Performance Insights
Over the initial Asian hours of trading, the US dollar to Canadian dollar pair continues to fall at 1.3730 mark. The duo’s decline is supported with a lower dollar Index & DXY at 105.75 mark. The U.S. Fed maintained its standard near-term financing rate in an objective range ranging from 5.25 percent to 5.50 percent. Expressing more prudence than previously about further rate reduction. Afterwards in the evening, the customary U.S week’s Preliminary Unemployment Claim report & March’s Goods Trading Balancing both are expected.
Later Wednesday afternoon, BoC’s Macklem underlined that the Bank is optimistic that price inflation will keep falling. Adding the central bank is “moving near” to cutting interest rates. He also stated noted the Bank of Canada is not bound by the US Fed script since rising rates of interest in Canada have’ more grip’ compared to the United States.
Fundamental Overview
Investors are betting further that the BOC will decrease the interest rate during the month of June since the economy of Canada worsened in the Q1 of the year. In the month of February, the GDP of Canada expanded by a lower rate of 0.2 percent monthly. Relative with the prior figure of 0.5 percent, and fell short of the consensus forecast of 0.3 percent growth. Meanwhile, the Canada’s Manufacturers PM fell to 49.4 level for April from 49.8 for Mar. Falling short of the average market consensus forecast of 50.2, based on S&P Global on Wed.
From the dollar’s trading face, the U.S. Fed held rates steady at 5.25% to 5.50 percent in its 6th straight conference. Which the traders were projecting that the U.S Fed Chairman Powell seemed more-wary than in past readings, calling for more time on policy. The US currency did not benefit after the meeting of monetary policy makers since the threshold for an aggressive shift was set exceedingly high. Nevertheless, the high-for-extended time span – rate story in the United States. That may give some cushion for the US currency and limit the possible downside for this duo.
Technical Indicators & Signals
Daily Pivots
Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
Classic | 1.3711 | 1.3714 | 1.3718 | 1.3722 | 1.3726 | 1.3730 | 1.3734 |
Fibonacci | 1.3714 | 1.3717 | 1.3719 | 1.3722 | 1.3725 | 1.3727 | 1.3730 |
Camarilla | 1.3719 | 1.3720 | 1.3721 | 1.3722 | 1.3722 | 1.3723 | 1.3724 |
Woodie’s | 1.3711 | 1.3714 | 1.3718 | 1.3722 | 1.3726 | 1.3730 | 1.3734 |
DeMark’s | – | – | 1.3716 | 1.3721 | 1.3724 | – |
Indicators – Signals
Name | Value | Action |
RSI(14) | 38.648 | Sell (Oversold) |
STOCH(9,6) | 25.345 | Sell |
STOCHRSI(14) | 31.108 | Sell* Caution (Oversold) |
MACD(12,26) | -0.001 | Sell |
ADX(14) | 43.714 | Sell |
Williams %R | -88.732 | Oversold* Caution |
CCI(14) | -121.6282 | Sell |
ATR(14) | 0.0019 | Less Volatility |
Highs/Lows(14) | -0.0011 | Sell |
Ultimate Oscillator | 44.480 | Sell* caution – (Oversold) |
ROC | -0.400 | Sell |
Bull to Bear Ratio -(13) | -0.0024 | Sell |