Pound sterling rises against the US dollar on stronger market optimism.
In Monday’s London session, the pound sterling (GBP) gained versus its major rivals. With the exception of the Australian dollar (AUD) and the New Zealand dollar (NZD). The British pound gain, with investors focusing on the United Kingdom (UK) Employment statistics for the three months ending June 30 and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July. Which will be released on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.
The UK jobs report is projected to indicate that the ILO Unemployment Rate increased to 4.5% from the preceding The release rate is 4.4%. Investors will also pay attention to the Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses data, which is a fundamental metric of wage growth and has contributed to strong inflation in the service sector.
Mann of the BoE warns that pricing pressures could rise further.
Wage growth is expected to have slowed sharply to 4.6%, down from 5.7% previously. A fall in wage growth indicators is projected to lead to more interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE).
While UK wage growth is expected to slow significantly, Catherine Mann. A member of the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said in an Economics Show podcast with the Financial Times on Monday’s Asian hours, “Goods and services prices were set to rise again. And wage pressures in the economy could take years to dissipate.” Mann stayed. Despite the restoration of annual headline inflation to the bank’s target of 2%. There are concerns about inflation rising further.
Daily market digest: Pound Sterling strengthens, with focus on UK-US inflation.
The pound sterling edged higher versus the US dollar (USD) during Monday’s European trading hours. The GBPUSD pair gradually climbs due to a stable market attitude. The US Dollar Index (DXY). Which measures the value of the US dollar against six major currencies, is currently stabilizing over 103.00.
Current market attitude reflects a consistent risk appetite; nevertheless, volatility is on the horizon as the United States (US) CPI data for July is set to be revealed on Wednesday. The inflation figures will have a substantial impact on market expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year.
Economists predict that The monthly headline and core CPI. Which exclude volatile food and energy prices, increased by 0.2%. The annual headline and core inflation rates are forecast to slow by 10 basis points to 2.9% and 3.2%, respectively.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, 30-day Federal Funds futures price data indicates. That traders believe interest rates will be cut by 50 basis points (bps) in September. The likelihood of a 50-bp rate cut has dropped dramatically from 85% a week ago. A huge drop in a short period of time without the release of any top-tier data shows that the high likelihood of large rate cuts prompted by bad US employment data for July. Which fueled fears of a possible recession, was an overreaction.
The Fed is likely to decrease interest rates by 25 basis points in September.
Meanwhile, Fed policymakers are increasingly confident. That price pressures will return to the intended 2% pace. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said at the Kansas Bankers Association on Friday, “Should the incoming data continue to show that inflation is moving sustainably toward our 2% goal, it will become appropriate to gradually lower the federal funds rate to prevent monetary policy from becoming overly restrictive on economic activity and employment.” She went on: “But we need to be patient and avoid undermining continued progress on lowering inflation by overreacting to any single data point,” according to Newsweek.