Gold price outlook despite a strong US dollar and lower US yields After reaching a daily high of $188.35, The price of gold is essentially unchanged during the North American session. Drifting about the $1870 region.
However, it has been unable to gain traction as the US Dollar (USD) has begun to recover a portion of its previous declines. gold is currently trading at about $1875, which itself is more than its opening value.
Gold price is showing marginal gains of 0.14%. Due to reduced US real yields.
Despite numerous Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers highlighting the necessity of raising rates to lower excessive inflation. US equities futures traded adversely. John Williams, president of the New York Fed, and other officials claimed that there is “confusion” regarding inflation. A spike in inflation, he continued, might cause the US central bank to act.
Gold prices remain stable. Despite Fed officials supporting the US Dollar
Furthermore, Fed Governor Lisa Cook noted that despite the Fed’s perception of an improvement in inflation. The rate is still running too high. She continued by saying that the US central bank is concentrating on reasserting stable prices and reiterating that the Fed will continue to increase interest rates.
The 10-year benchmark note rate is now 3.679% as a result of market players’ reactions, which increased US Treasury bond yields. As a result, the dollar index, which measures the US dollar, shows negligible gains of 0.09%, at 103.42.
Impact of US treasuries
The yellow metal maintains increases despite rising US Treasury rates and a stronger dollar, supported by declining US Real Yields. A positive development for gold bullion is the US 10-year TIPS, a proxy for Real Yields, Which drops from 1.351% into 1.326%.
The XAUUSD oscillates about $1874 while staying inside the confines of the 20 and 50 day EMAs, which are both around $1895.18 and $1856.20, accordingly.
Gold Fundamental Background
If we are to see a final surge up towards the crucial $2000 handle, gold needs a trigger. Up until Friday, when we receive the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment report, there have been no big impact news updates.
For the time being, focus will be placed on the various Federal Reserve officials and their statements, which would be likely what will cause the very next move in precious metals.
Gold Price Prediction
The daily timescale for gold indicates that it is still higher orientated while being in a persistent retracement. The 50-day EMA was present to stop gold decline USD’s from of the YTD top of S1959.74 towards Monday’s dip of S1860.44.
Source: TradingView
However, the prognosis is dubious as seen by the price movements of Gold -USD, which recorded three consecutive candles with small bodies but extended higher wicks. This implies that there is still pressure to sell.
The gold initial USD’s support level if it were to move down is $1869.16, backed by $1865.08 and $1860.44. First barrier for Gold moving higher would be $1886.35. Supported by the 20-day EMA at $1895.30, and then the $1900 mark.
Key Technical Levels
OVERVIEW | |
Today last price | 1875.13 |
Today Daily Change | 4.90 |
Today Daily Change % | 0.26 |
Today daily open | 1870.23 |
TRENDS | |
Daily SMA20 | 1913.83 |
Daily SMA50 | 1851.04 |
Daily SMA100 | 1770.45 |
Daily SMA200 | 1776.02 |
LEVELS | |
Previous Daily High | 1884.49 |
Previous Daily Low | 1865.05 |
Previous Weekly High | 1959.8 |
Previous Weekly Low | 1861.45 |
Previous Monthly High | 1949.27 |
Previous Monthly Low | 1823.76 |
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1877.06 |
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1872.48 |
Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1862.02 |
Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1853.82 |
Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1842.58 |
Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1881.46 |
Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1892.7 |
Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1900.9 |
Trader’s Positioning
With 66% of traders presently holding long positions, retail traders are presently LONG here on gold to dollar ratio. Because we frequently disagree with popular opinion, the fact that traders are LONG signals that the value of gold relative to the US dollar may decline.