Gold outlook for the key junction area, prior to CPI data. Adoption over the $2000 psychological range Is still uncertain.
Gold Fundamental Review
The price of gold increased during Asian trading, reaching a session high of $2020.87. However, handing back a portion of those gains once the European market opened. However, market players are still considering if such a surge would be sustainable on what may turn out to be a crucial day for the gold
Monday’s pennant breakthrough provided support for gold, which rebounded yesterday as a lower US dollar ended a four-day rising run. Following the weekend. The market mood has been generally restrained due to the importance of the upcoming US data events.
Gold was not much impressed by Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari’s comments
Policymakers at the Fed failed to offer any clarification in their remarks, which were fairly ambiguous and inconsistent. While John Williams of New York said he believes the Fed has to do a lot more to battle inflation. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari indicated he anticipates inflation dropping to about 3% in 2023. Intriguing remarks were given that the Core CPI projection is anticipated to show a modest increase in March.
As the price of gold reaches a crucial turning point at the $2033.00 level (the most current surge top), an intriguing day and week is ahead. The US inflation figures, which are expected to be released later, follow closely on the heels of solid job market statistics.
Although an indication that inflation is continuing to decline might act as a stimulus for a retest of the 2022 high at about the $2070.00 level. An increase in inflation today or a substantial miss of the expected print of 5.2% might result in another downward move. In a sense, gold is facing a make-or-break situation.
Wednesday’s Crucial Economic Events
Technical Perspective
As we go closer to the recent swing highs around the $2033.00 mark, Gold has shown a nice break, retest, and extension of the pennant formation from a technical standpoint. Possible upward objectives are located near the fulfilled 2022 high of $2070.00. Which is the vertical space between the top and bottom trendlines of about 80 US dollars.
The technical indicators seem to indicate additional upward movement and a possible check of that 2022 high. But there are several obstacles to overcome. There are several important resistance levels, as well as the release of US inflation statistics. That might have a significant effect on the future performance of the USD index and gold prices.
Key levels to watch
Resistance Levels:
- 2033.00
- 2050.00
- 2070.00
Support Levels:
- 2003.00
- 1983.00
- 1950.00